In what is one of the least exciting Premier League final days in the competition’s history, Arsenal are battling Liverpool and Manchester City for a top four finish that brings with it Champions League qualification. As it stands, City are a point away from confirming their place, while a win when they play Watford would guarantee them third and a group stage berth.

Arsenal must beat Everton and would then need Liverpool to fail to beat an already-relegated Middlesbrough side that have struggled for form all season. The likelihood of these scenarios make it probable that the Gunners will be playing in the Europa League, the secondary UEFA competition, for the first time under Arsene Wenger – regardless of whether the Frenchman remains at the helm.

With Jurgen Klopp’s side the only in the top six, apart from champions Chelsea, not to play in European competition this summer, anything less than their current fourth place would be a major underachievement in what is the German’s first full campaign in England. Despite some fantastic early-season displays, the Merseyside club have slipped up all too often against the so-called lesser sides – a trait that has seen them draw 10 times.

The Reds have been strong during the run-in, however, taking advantage of Manchester United’s stuttering form to win five of their past eight matches and they are already 13 points better off than last season’s eighth-place finish.

Middlesbrough, meanwhile, will finish 19th after a disappointing return to top-flight football. The North East side have not been enough of an attacking threat, scoring just 27 times in 37 games. With the bottom half of the league’s best defensive record, a more regular supply of goals would have seen them avoid the drop easily. Reports have linked Ryan Giggs – out of work since his departure from Louis van Gaal’s backroom staff at United – with the vacant manager’s position.

With all that in mind, Liverpool are overwhelming favourites to avoid defeat – as shown with the 1X Double Chance bet (1.02). They are 1.16 to get the win that could see them overtake City, though they would need Watford – now looking for a new manager after the news that Walter Mazzarri is leaving – to do them a massive but unlikely favour. Boro are at 18.7 to end their Premier League stay on a high.

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Odds 18.05.2017 – 12:00 PM (no guarantee for the accuracy of the statistics and odds, odds subject to change, livestreaming depends on the TV rights of the countries, there is no guarantee to activate streams in some countries)