The United States still have absolute control of their destiny in Group B at the 2017 CONCACAF Gold Cup that they are hosting, though they could do with three points against Martinique – the current leaders – after a disappointing opening draw with Panama. With Nicaragua looking like being the whipping boys, and they play them in Cleveland on Saturday, three points on Thursday in Tampa would see them leapfrog Martinique.

Ranked 35th in the world according to Fifa’s rankings, Bruce Arena’s first tournament since taking over as manager for a second time would be considered a disappointment if the Stars and Stripes did not at least match their fourth place finish of two years ago, when they lost to Panama on penalties in the play-off having lost to Jamaica in the semis.

Unlike the US, Martinique are not recognised by Fifa as a separate entity to the French mainland, and so are not ranked. However, they produced a strong performance in their opener to beat Nicaragua 2-0. Now they have a points cushion and could afford to lose to the States and still advance. A draw (rated at 6.25 by Tipbet) would almost guarantee them a place in the last-eight. That would match their best ever finish at the 2002 Gold Cup.

Tipbet have 61 markets for this meeting in total, including on the correct score; at 4.90, a 2-0 home win is rated as most likely. The USA are 1.16 to get their first win, while it is 2.15 for both teams to find the net. Arena’s men have been in strong from, and are unbeaten in 2017, so will be supremely confident of making it into the next stage.

Odds markets for all three groups in the tournament can be viewed here, while Mexico are rated as 2.15 favourites to retain their trophy, with the USA just behind at 2.70.